dr Paweł KROPIŃSKI, FCCA

Unit:
Center for Research on Inequality
Research interest:
Decision-making criteria under conditions of risk and uncertainty, Quantitative and mathematical methods, Microstructure of financial markets, Network analysis
Links:
About:
Dr. Paweł Kropiński's research interests focus on economic uncertainty and information asymmetry in the context of the microstructure of financial markets. His primary focus is the impact of social media, such as Google Trends and Twitter, on investment decisions and market transparency. He applies graph theory and machine learning methods to model complex financial phenomena. His research includes models for detecting episodes of information asymmetry, tools for analyzing market networks, and studies on the impact of social media signals on risk perception.
He earned his PhD in Economics and Finance from the Poznań University of Economics in 2025. He has spent years working with banking and investment institutions, particularly Shore Capital Group and NatWest Bank in London.
He completed a research project under the NAWA program at Queensland University of Technology, where he assessed the usefulness of open-source LLM language models in identifying warning signals and market crises.
Publications:
Working papers
Kropiński, P. (2024). Can Large Language Models Mitigate Sector Shocks in the Australian Market? Elsevier BV. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5076565
Research articles
Kropiński, P., & Anholcer, M. (2022). How Google Trends can improve market prediction - the case of the Warsaw Stock Exchange. Economics and Business Review, 8(2), 7–28. https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2022.2.2
Kropiński, P. (2024). Uncertainty in Central and Eastern European markets. Evidence from Twitter-based uncertainty measures. Post-Communist Economies, 36(3), 382–403. https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2023.2288737
Kropiński, P., Bosek, B., & Pudo, M. (2024). State ownership, probability of informed trading, and profitability potential: Evidence from the Warsaw Stock Exchange. International Review of Financial Analysis, 95, 103365. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103365

